The Brewers are World Series champions for the first time in franchise history after finishing off the Rays with a 4-1 win in Game 5. This team was the best in baseball from start to finish. They won 103 games, went 11-2 in the playoffs, and never trailed in a series.

They didn’t take an easy route. Milwaukee beat a Padres team that had won 19 of 22 entering playoffs, swept the two-time defending champion Dodgers, and then knocked out a 98-win Rays team.

Brewers hitters swung less often than any team in baseball, drew the 2nd most walks, and rarely missed when they did swing. They tied for 28th in home runs and still drove opposing starters out early. Then the bullpen took over, posting a 1.38 ERA across 65 innings. 

The record book took a beating, too. Jackson Chourio passed Andruw Jones for the most postseason hits before turning 23. Rookie Cooper Pratt hit .421 in the Series and hit the first extra-inning World Series homer by a rookie. In Game 3, Robert Gasser became the first lefty since Sandy Koufax in 1965 to face the minimum through six innings in a World Series game. Aaron Ashby set a postseason record for relievers with 18 straight scoreless innings.

The MVP went to William Contreras, who hit .381 and caught all 13 playoff games. He also made the most of the new ball-strike challenge system, winning 66% of his challenges in October.

Congratulations the Brewers’ organization and fans. Everyone in Milwaukee can bask in the victory even longer with an impending lockout on the horizon.  

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🏈 The Worst Run Game Meets the Worst Run Defense

Carolina has the better DVOA, 13th to Green Bay’s 19th, yet the Panthers are 3.5-point underdogs at Lambeau tonight. That’s not as strange as it sounds once you dig into the matchups.

Start with the Panthers’ offense. It ranks 4th in yards per game and 2nd in passing yards, and Bryce Young is averaging 285 yards a game through the air. The issue is how drives finish. Young completes 59% of his passes overall and just 44% in the red zone, which helps explain why Carolina’s point differential (-7) lags behind its efficiency.

Green Bay’s defense leads the league with nine interceptions and gives up only 5.3 yards per play. For a quarterback with accuracy problems, that’s a dangerous combination. Carolina’s best chance is keeping the ball away from that secondary. Chuba Hubbard is averaging 4.8 yards per carry and faces a Packers run defense that’s only average.

When Green Bay has the ball, they can’t run at all, ranking last in the NFL with 60 rushing yards a game on 2.9 yards per carry. Carolina can’t stop the run either, ranking last in yards allowed, yards per carry allowed (5.2), and rushing touchdowns allowed (11).

Even a decent ground game would take pressure off Love, who has thrown for nearly 2,000 yards despite completing under 60% of his passes. The Panthers have the league’s 5th-highest pressure rate, which could cause problems for Love on a night when he’ll likely throw plenty.

The recent history favors the underdog. Carolina has covered in each of the last three meetings, even while losing two of them.

The Prediction: Carolina’s offense is good enough to stay close, and maybe even win. Carolina covers +3.5

🌲 The Pine Line

🏆️ A “Pit bull” just won the World Series MVP. Contreras made a bold claim about his place in the league.

🏀 Supporters want the WNBA to get the same recognition as the NBA. It won’t happen when a Finals Game 6 tips off at 9:30 AM on a week day. 

🤯 One of the biggest upsets in English cup history. This is equivalent to a DIII football team beating the Buckeyes.

🏒 We’re already one month into the NHL season. The latest power rankings show up who to watch out for.

🏈 No Run Game, No Problem: Three Props Through the Air

Tonight’s game pairs two pass-heavy offenses with defenses that have clear holes, and these three props take advantage of both.

🔥 Jordan Love Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

Love has thrown at least two touchdowns in six of his seven games this season. The only miss, surprisingly, came against Dallas. He’s at 13 touchdowns overall, and he’s been at his best at Lambeau, averaging 318 passing yards per game across three home starts.

With little run game to speak of, Love has been the biggest red zone threat for Green Bay. Seven of his touchdowns have come inside the 10, and his five scores inside the 5 rank seventh in the league. With the Packers unable to run the ball, those short-yardage chances usually go to Love. Carolina ranks 22nd in touchdown rate allowed, so expect him to get a few chances.

🔥 Bryce Young Over 249.5 Passing Yards

Young is second in the NFL at 285 passing yards per game and has topped his line in five of his last six games. The one miss came in the blowout loss to Tampa Bay. He throws often and deep, ranking third in air yards per game, so his low completion rate isn’t as big a concern for this bet.

Green Bay allows only 237 passing yards a game and leads the league in interception rate. What makes this worth playing is the pass rush, which is only middle of the pack, giving Young time to push the ball downfield. Green Bay’s struggling offense could also hand Carolina more possessions to help get him over the line.

🔥 Darren Waller Over 19.5 Receiving Yards

This line is low for a tight end averaging 33 yards a game and 14.1 yards per catch, ninth among tight ends. Waller doesn’t get many targets, but they tend to be downfield, so two catches is usually more than enough. He’s cleared this mark in five of his last six games and in 73 of his 102 career games. On the road this season, he’s averaging 28 yards, still well over the line.

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