Divisional games on a short week always hit different. Execution matters. Depth matters. And in the NFC West, every win feels like it counts double.

Seattle and Arizona enter Thursday night at 2-1, locked in a three-way tie for 2nd place with the Rams. This one carries extra weight. Both teams are already 0-1 in the division, both falling to San Francisco. Another divisional loss this early would be trouble.

There’s a betting wrinkle too. Teams coming off a 30-point blowout are just 36-57-3 ATS early in the season. Seattle fits that profile after last week’s 44-13 rout of New Orleans.

Expect Thursday night to deliver the kind of drama only divisional football can.

🏆 Props Battle is Here

We have already given out $150 to users this season but the battle continues in Discord. Cast your vote and prove you know football better than the community.

✅ Get it right → you’re in the running for $50 cash this week
✅ Stack wins all season → top spot scores a full year of Jaxon Premium ($999 value)

It’s free. It’s easy. And it’s only happening in the Pine Sports Discord. Go vote and join the battle.

🏈 Thursday Night Football Preview: Seahawks at Cardinals

Thursday Night Football features a key NFC West clash: Sam Darnold and the Seahawks vs. Kyler Murray and the Cardinals. Darnold rides momentum after a dominant Week 3 win, while Murray’s improved ball security will be tested against Seattle’s defense.

Game Prediction

Divisional games are always tricky, but Seattle’s passing edge and disruptive front feel like the difference here. The Seahawks already have four interceptions on the year, and if they can pressure Murray into mistakes, that could seal it.

Prediction: Seahawks grind out a close win on the road.

Thursday Night Quarterback Battle

The Seahawks bring a sharper passing attack into this NFC West scrap, averaging 8.81 yards per attempt compared to the Cardinals’ 6.09. They also move the chains more efficiently with 5.88 yards per play.

The Cardinals would normally counter with a stronger ground game, averaging 4.34 yards per carry. Arizona takes a big hit with James Conner ruled out, putting extra weight on Murray’s dual-threat ability. Both defenses are banged up, which could tilt things toward the team with the cleaner execution on offense.

Sam Darnold Over 220.5 Passing Yards

Sam Darnold’s passing line sits at 220.5 yards, and the data leans toward the over. He’s cleared this mark in 70% of his last 10 games, averaged 254+ yards in 2024, and put up 295 on the road this year. While his 2025 hit rate is lower in a small sample, efficiency metrics and matchup history with Arizona make the over the stronger play.

Kyler Murray Over 243.5 Passing + Rushing Yards

History says Kyler can clear 245. He’s topped this number in 70% of his last 10 games, averaged 284.5 vs. Seattle last year, and gets a banged-up Seahawks defense this week. This line is higher than usual, but his increased workload without James Conner makes the over at -113 a strong play.

Sam Darnold Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

Sam Darnold’s cleared 1.5 TouchDowns in 70% of his last 10 games, threw 2 TDs vs. Arizona last year, and ranks top-12 in both completion rate and Passing EPA this season. He may still be getting used to his new team, but the Seahawks’ offensive efficiency and Darnold’s form so far make 2+ TDs a strong play.

🌲 The Pine Line

⚾ Umpires still call the game. New challenge system could change the strike zone forever.

👑 Heavy is the crown. Arizona’s offense just took a major hit.

🏈 A new era starts in New York this Sunday. The Giants are handing the keys to their rookie QB.

🥊 Years of trash talk and one unfinished fight. Madison Square Garden could host this spectacle in 2026.

🏀 8,800 pink wigs. Endless energy. Have you caught the StudBudz phenomenon this postseason?

💸 TNF Anytime Touchdown Scorers

With the help of Jaxon, I’ve got one anytime touchdown pick from each side for Thursday Night.

For Seattle, the play is Kenneth Walker III (-130). He’s consistently handling goal-line work and benefiting from a Seahawks offense that just hung 44 points on the Saints. Walker should see plenty of chances to punch one in. His role as Seattle’s primary scoring threat on the ground makes him a strong pick.

On the other side, I’m rolling with Kyler Murray (+245). With James Conner sidelined, the Cardinals’ backfield lacks a proven finisher, meaning Murray’s legs could be leaned on heavily in the red zone. He’s already shown improved decision-making this year, and his dual-threat ability makes him dangerous on designed runs or scrambles.

🚑️ Week 4 NFL Survivor: Two Paths, Two Stories

Last week was a roller coaster depending on which path you were on. Path A riders sweated it out with Tampa, who needed a last-second field goal to survive. Path B backers had a much easier time as the Bills cruised to a comfortable win. Some weeks you coast, others you cling.

This was the first week of major upsets this season. Between the Packers losing on a last second field goal and the Falcons getting blown out, around 20% of entries were eliminated from pools this weekend. Not us though. Let’s take a look at Week 4. 

Path A: Buffalo Bills (-16.5 vs Saints)

With the Broncos, Cardinals, and Buccaneers already used, the optimal Week 4 play is the Buffalo Bills. Don’t overthink it. They draw the New Orleans Saints in a matchup where our models give Buffalo a 90.83% implied win probability. That number reflects both Buffalo’s top-tier roster strength and the mismatch against a Saints team that has struggled to find rhythm.

While no survivor pick is ever “safe,” this is as close as it gets.

Path B: Detroit Lions (-9.5 vs Browns)

Outside of the Bills, one of the best alternatives comes in the form of the Detroit Lions. Hosting the Cleveland Browns, Detroit carries a strong 79.14% implied win probability. They check every box: not previously picked, non-divisional opponent, and a Sunday afternoon kickoff (avoiding the variance of prime time).

Coming off a statement win over Baltimore, the Lions are playing with momentum and look primed to protect home turf. Yes, the Browns just upset the Packers, but don’t let that cause you to overreact. 

Two different routes, same goal: survive another week.

Less than two weeks…

Until Hockey is back! Two weeks after that will be the first NBA tipoff of the season. Now is the time to get involved on Twitter, TikTok, or Discord so that you’re ready to max your profits this season.