Are the Packers actually for real this year?

They may be facing a setback on offense but through two weeks, they’ve turned opposing running backs into background characters. Only 97 rushing yards allowed. That’s the most solid start we’ve seen since the 2021 Panthers and Green Bay’s best since 2016.

It’s not just the big names doing it. Parsons might grab the headlines, but the whole front is swarming, forcing teams into obvious passing downs. That’s when the Packers’ pass rushers tee off. Suddenly Jordan Love doesn’t have to be Superman to win games.

Add in the fact this is the youngest roster in the league, and it feels like Green Bay is just scratching the surface.

Bottom line: two weeks in, the Packers aren’t just playing good defense. They’re building the kind of defense that wins games in January.

🤖 Jaxon – Your Edge Against the Books

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Whether you’re chasing player props, hunting +EV, or want instant answers to questions like “How does Dak Prescott perform as a home favorite?”, Jaxon has you covered.

It’s simple. It’s powerful. And your first questions are free.

🏈 NFL Sunday Week 2 Player Props

Week 1 gave us the first glimpse of usage and roles, and now we can start to separate flukes from trends. Here are the spots where the numbers and matchups line up for serious value.

Noah Fant Over 2.5 Receptions (+114)

Jaxon’s Take: Fant tied Ja’Marr Chase for the team lead in target share (21.7%) and led all Bengals in snaps and routes in Week 1. Jacksonville can be tough vs. TEs, but Fant has hit this line in 10 straight games. With Burrow easing in, the volume should be there again

My Take: I liked Noah at Seattle last season. He’s been remarkably consistent over his last season and Noah already “Feels Right” in Cincinnati. 

Jahmyr Gibbs Over 25.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Jaxon’s Take: Gibbs saw 10 targets and 10 catches in Week 1, locking in his role as a passing-game weapon. The Bears rank 28th vs. RBs in receiving yards, and Gibbs has cleared this line in 100% of his last 5 games (47.2 avg). With Detroit’s run game sputtering, expect plenty of looks through the air.

My Take: Love this spot. Gibbs is basically a wideout in a running back’s body, and Chicago doesn’t have the linebackers to keep up with him in space. If he gets anywhere close to 10 targets again, 25.5 yards feels way too low.

Bijan Robinson Over 95.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115)

Jaxon’s Take: Bijan is a usage monster, playing 83% of snaps and posting 124 total yards in Week 1. He’s cleared this line in 100% of his last 5 games and 90% of his last 10, averaging well over 120 yards in both stretches. Even against a top-10 Vikings defense vs. RBs, his dual-threat role makes him one of the safest overs on the board.

My Take: I’m not overthinking this one. Bijan looked electric as both a runner and receiver, and the Falcons clearly want the ball in his hands every drive. If he gets his usual 20+ touches, 95.5 feels like the floor, not the ceiling.

 🌲 The Pine Line

😢 The Packers’ win on Thursday came at a cost. Jayden Reed’s injury status is bad news. 

🔥 11 straight games with a touchdown. This RB is now in rarified air.

💰️ Women’s soccer just set another financial record. Gotham FC adds USWNT star to their stacked roster

🔬 Another twist in the Kawhi saga. Clippers minority owner is now under the microscope.

🤕 Brock Purdy’s Week 2 status is no longer a question. Beyond that is much less clear.

💰 Week 2 Best Game Bets

Early lines are still shaky in Week 2, which means oddsmakers haven’t fully adjusted to what we saw in openers. This week we have Mahomes in a rare underdog spot, a Cowboys mismatch, and a total that looks a few points too low.

Best Moneyline: Kansas City Chiefs (+105)

The Chiefs rarely find themselves as home underdogs, and at +105 the value is clear. Kansas City averaged 6.29 yards per play in Week 1 compared to just 5.13 for Philadelphia, showing more explosive potential on offense. Their ground game was efficient too, posting 5.76 YPC against the Eagles’ 4.16.

Defensively, neither team looked dominant, but the Eagles failed to record a single sack against Dallas. That lack of pressure could be costly against Mahomes, who thrives when given time. Meanwhile, the Chiefs’ defense generated three sacks, suggesting they may be the more disruptive front in this matchup.

Add in the “Mahomes as a home dog” factor, only the second time in his career, and the plus-money price makes this an intriguing spot.

Best Spread: Dallas Cowboys -4.5 (-110)

The Cowboys sit at -4.5, and the numbers back them up. Dallas averaged 5.5 yards per play in Week 1 while holding Philly without a sack allowed. The Giants? Just 4.1 YPP on offense, gave up 474 yards on defense, and Russell Wilson looked completely out of sync.

With LT Andrew Thomas limited, and no reliable run game, it’s hard to see New York keeping pace. Dallas has the clear edge on both sides of the ball.

Best Total: Seattle/Pittsburgh Over 39.5 Points (-115)

The Steelers dropped 34 points in Week 1 but also gave up 32 to the Jets, allowing nearly 7 yards per play and getting gashed on the ground. That combo of offensive firepower and defensive leaks is tailor-made for overs.

Seattle struggled on the scoreboard last week, but with Charbonnet stepping into a bigger role, their run game is built to exploit Pittsburgh’s soft front. Add in both defenses giving up sky-high completion rates, and 39.5 feels too low.

🏆️ Week 2 Anytime Touchdown Scorers

Chase Brown Anytime Touchdown (-155)

Brown dominated Cincy’s backfield in Week 1, handling 21 of 23 carries and grabbing 2 targets. He owned 62% of team touches, 5 of 8 red-zone looks, and 2 goal-line chances. With that kind of usage, he’s the clear favorite to find the endzone again.

Jahmyr Gibbs Anytime Touchdown (-170)

Gibbs caught all 10 of his targets in Week 1, showing how central he is to Detroit’s offense. He’s found the end zone in 3 of 4 games vs. Chicago and scores in nearly 70% of his home games. High-volume role plus great matchup = strong TD bet.

Don’t forget to vote in the Week 2 Props Battle poll in our Free Discord! You might just win $50 if you do. Stop by, vote, and let us know who else you’re taking this weekend.

I can’t wait for another full day of football. 🍿