šŸˆ From Bench to Backflips in One Week

Plus Monday Night Football props and a World Series game the Rays can’t afford to lose

Against the Saints in Week 6, the Giants sat their second-year back for the entire game. Zero attempts. After four fumbles in his first five games, the message was about ball security, and it landed. Skattebo got another chance in Houston on Sunday, and he seized the opportunity..

Skattebo finished the game with 17 carries, a career-high 124 yards, a touchdown, and the two biggest individual runs of his career.

The first came with 8:55 left in the fourth quarter, a 16-yard score where he bounced off defender after defender to put New York up 21–14. It was his first touchdown since Week 1, and yes, he finished it with the backflip. The second came in overtime with the game tied at 24: a 42-yard burst down to the Houston 30, the longest run of his pro career. Devin Singletary ended it on the next snap. Giants 27, Texans 21.

Next Gen Stats credited him with six forced missed tackles and four explosive carries, after he’d managed just five explosives all season. He entered the game averaging 3.6 yards per carry. Against a Texans defense ranked third in rushing yards allowed, he averaged 7.3. The line deserves its share of praise, clearing room for the Giants to run for a season-high 188 yards and four rushing touchdowns.

Now the catch. Skattebo went down at the end of that overtime run, and confirmed an issue in his hamstring, the same one that already had him listed as questionable. Tyrone Tracy Jr. hurt his hamstring in the game as well. The bye week couldn’t come at a better time for the Giants backfield.

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šŸˆ Eagles Are Shorthanded, Dallas Can Take Advantage

The Eagles have lost Jalen Hurts for the season with blood clot issues, so Tanner McKee makes his second start. His first, against Carolina, was rough: 57.8% completions, 4.8 yards per attempt, and a 77.5 passer rating. He also won’t have DeVonta Smith or Dontayvion Wicks, both ruled out.

Dallas is a strange team. The offense ranks 9th in DVOA and puts up 25 points a game. The defense is dead last in DVOA, hasn’t intercepted a single pass all season, and lets opponents convert 56% of third downs. Philadelphia’s best way to keep this close is Saquon Barkley, who’s questionable but trending toward playing. Against a Cowboys run defense allowing nearly 150 yards a game, the Eagles can grind out long drives and keep McKee out of third-and-long situations.

The last 10 meetings averaged 53 combined points, well above tonight’s 43.5 total. Those games had healthy starting quarterbacks on both sides, though, so don’t lean on that too heavily.

Dallas throws 41 times a game, second most in the league, and has the league’s best sack rate allowed. Prescott is averaging 273 yards a game on the season and 292.8 over his last five, clearing this number in four of them. He’s gone over in four of six games this year. He’s also stayed in the pocket lately, with only four rushing attempts in his last three games, so nearly every play runs through his arm.

The Eagles’ secondary rarely gives up completions, ranking 6th in completion rate allowed, but it gives up chunks. Philly sits 22nd in passing yards allowed and 15th in yards per attempt, which suits a Dallas offense built on spreading teams out. Prescott has 10 touchdowns and no picks in seven career games in Philly.

Flournoy’s role keeps growing. He caught a season-high seven passes on nine targets last week, has drawn six or more targets in three of Dallas’s last five games, and hasn’t seen fewer than four in any game this season. He’s hit four catches in half his games, including two of his last three.

He works from the slot and ranks third on the team in both targets and yards per route run, ahead of Jake Ferguson. Ferguson only played about half the snaps in Green Bay, which leaves more short targets for Flournoy. Philadelphia ranks 23rd in catches allowed to wide receivers, and its coverage drops off fast after the top two corners.

This one is about opportunity. With Smith and Wicks out, the Eagles need someone other than Goedert to catch passes, and Hollywood Brown is next in line. Projections have him at about 12.5 yards, just over the number, and he had 20 yards in his one game against Dallas last season.

With a line this low, one decent catch could cover it, and McKee will be looking for anyone who gets open.

🌲 The Pine Line

šŸ¤• Rough weekend for NBA fans. Multiple stars will miss time after gruesome injuries.

āš½ļø Manchester players have said they fully support the manager. That’s usually the precursor to a sacking.

šŸˆ What is going on in college football? A top 2 team has lost to unranked opponents for three straight weeks.

šŸŽļø A new location is coming to the Formula 1 schedule. Get ready for the F1 return to Africa.

āš¾ļø Can an Ex-Brewer Save Tampa’s World Series Hopes?

Milwaukee has won two one-run games and now sits two wins from its first-ever championship. The series moves to Tropicana Field tonight, and the Rays can’t afford to lose. No team has ever come back from down 3-0 in the World Series.

Tampa Bay has mostly beaten itself so far. The Rays went 0-for-6 with runners in scoring position and stranded 12 in Game 1. In Game 2, they blew a 4-0 first-inning lead with two Jonathan Aranda errors and a runner thrown out at the plate by Jackson Chourio. William Contreras has also shut down their running game from behind the plate.

Tonight’s starter for the Rays, Freddy Peralta, spent eight seasons in Milwaukee before being traded in January, and he’s been close to untouchable since joining Tampa Bay at the deadline: 7-0 with a 0.89 ERA since August and ALCS MVP after holding Cleveland to one run over 12 innings. The concern is how he’s done against his old teammates. In July, pitching for the Mets, the Brewers hit him for seven runs in 5.1 innings, and the current roster is hitting .361 off him for his career.

Milwaukee counters with Robert Gasser, who has allowed one run in nine postseason innings, mostly thanks to his sweeper. He’s much tougher on lefties than righties, though, and Tampa Bay’s lineup leans right-handed.

The bullpens may decide it. Rays starters have recorded only 26 outs in two games, putting a lot of strain on a relief group whose lesser arms have struggled. Meanwhile, Milwaukee’s bullpen threw six scoreless innings in Game 2. If Peralta can’t give Tampa Bay six innings tonight, the Brewers could be one win away from a title.

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