The 2025-26 NBA season has turned into an absolute scoring clinic and the numbers are borderline absurd.

A third of the league is averaging 120+ points per game with the entire league averaging 3 more points per game than last season. Pace has jumped up by two extra possessions per game compared to last year. Teams are launching nearly 40 threes a night.

So, what happened?

First, pace is on steroids. More possessions means more shots, more scoring chances, more everything. Teams are prioritizing transition and early-clock looks over grinding halfcourt sets.

Second, the three-point revolution has hit critical mass. Boston was jacking up nearly 48 threes per game earlier this year despite shooting a terrible 31.2%. The math is just too good: three points beats two points, and teams have fully committed to that reality.

Third, rule changes are tilting the floor. The new "high-five" rule calls fouls on any hand contact after a shot release. The landing-space rule protects shooters. Hand-checking is basically extinct. Defenders are handcuffed, and scorers are feasting.

Positionless basketball changes everything. Centers like Jokić and Wembanyama are bringing the ball up and spacing to the arc. Point guards like Josh Giddey are crashing the glass. Wings like Luka and SGA are running entire offenses.

Traditional positions are dead. That creates mismatches sportsbooks struggle to price. How do you set a rebounds prop when a center plays like a point guard? How do you price assists when everyone handles the ball?

Look at that chart. Most books have recalibrated and built in the higher pace, the three-point volume, the rule changes. But several are still getting destroyed because they're setting props based on what the league was, not what it is.

This is exactly why data-driven tools like the EV Sheet matter. They identify which books have adjusted and which haven't. They allow you to find which prop markets have the most value. The algorithms account for pace, shot volume, and how modern versatility impacts every stat category.

🤖 Jaxon – Your Edge Against the Books

Tired of guessing? Just ask Jaxon.

Jaxon crunches millions of data points in seconds, finds the hidden value sportsbooks don’t want you to see, and delivers it straight to you.

🎯 Player Props → Discover the sharpest matchups before kickoff
💎 Plus EV Finder → Spot the bets where the math is on your side
📰 News & Injuries → Get the updates that actually move lines
🏈 Survivor Pool Optimization → Build the path that keeps you alive longest

Whether you’re chasing player props, hunting +EV, or want instant answers to questions like “How does Tua perform on the road against other AFC East opponents?”, Jaxon has you covered.

It’s simple. It’s powerful. And your first questions are free.

🏈 Giants @ Patriots MNF Preview

The Giants-Patriots rivalry stands as one of the NFL's more intriguing interconference matchups. The overall series is knotted at 7-7 through 14 meetings going back to 1970. The Giants own an unblemished 2-0 postseason record against the Patriots with a couple of the most memorable upsets in Super Bowl history.

This week we have a matchup of two very different teams. Going into Week 13, the Giants were the only team to already be mathematically eliminated from playoff contention. Meanwhile, the Patriots are 10-2 and in position for their first AFC title since the Brady era. They’re on a 9-game win streak and have outscored opponents by 92 points. Good luck, New York.

The advanced metrics paint a brutal picture for New York. While both teams rank below average in Total DVOA (Patriots 17th, Giants 23rd), New England's +92 point differential (4th in NFL) versus the Giants' -70 (27th) tells the real story. The Patriots have built their success on an elite passing attack led by Drake Maye, ranking 1st in completion percentage (70.87%) and 2nd in yards per attempt (8.8).

The Giants rely on volume rushing, they lead the league in carries but rank just 22nd in yards per carry (4.13). Dare I say the Giants even had hope with Cam Skattebo in the backfield but we’ll have to wait a while to see him again. Their passing game struggles a lot, ranking 27th in completion percentage and their offense is 25th in sacks allowed.

More bad news for the Giants as their run-heavy offense crashes directly into the Patriots' elite run defense, which ranks 1st in rushing touchdowns allowed with just 4 all season. They’re 2nd in rushing yards allowed at 87.67 per game. On the flip side, the Giants' defense is statistically one of the worst in football, ranking dead last in both rushing yards allowed (157.17 per game) and yards per carry allowed (5.93). They've surrendered 17 rushing touchdowns, 30th in the league, and rank 30th in points allowed overall.

The injury situations cut both ways but ultimately favor New England. While the Giants get quarterback Jaxson Dart back from concussion protocol, the Patriots' defensive front should continue dominating the line of scrimmage.

When the team ranked 4th in point differential (+92) faces the team ranked 27th (-70), and the critical matchups all tilt one direction, there’s only one things to do.

Prediction: New England Patriots -6.5

TreVeyon Henderson Anytime Touchdown (+100)

One of the surprises for New England this season has been the emergence of TreVeyon Henderson in the backfield. While most of his production is on the rush, 5 rushing touchdowns this season, he is also seeing nearly 3 targets per game and catching nearly everything thrown his way.

At +100 on BetRivers, I love the value for TreVeyon tonight.

 🌲 The Pine Line

🏀 Flagg's out here breaking NBA records on back-to-back nights. His LA trip was historically productive.

🏎️ Formula 1's title race was supposed to be wrapped up in Qatar. Buckle up for Abu Dhabi.

⚽️ Turns out adding the greatest player ever actually works. The worst team in the league, they’re now one game from lifting the cup.

🏈 Allen added another record to his resume that doesn't involve his arm. Technically, Cam Newton could still take it back.

🎓️ Lane Kiffin is on the move again. This one is really ruffling some feathers.

🏈 Monday Night Player Props

by Tony Reyes

Player Props That Are About to Print Money on Monday Night

We've already established this game is going over, and the Giants are covering. Now let's talk about how to really maximize this spot with these player props that are criminally mispriced.

Drake Maye Over 244.5 Passing Yards is the absolute lock of the night.

The kid has cleared this number in every single one of his last five games, averaging 277 yards during that stretch. He's facing a Giants secondary that ranks 23rd against quarterbacks and is missing their best pass rusher in Kayvon Thibodeaux. When Maye plays at home, he averages 263 yards and hits this over 83% of the time.

The Patriots' offensive line might be banged up, but Maye thrives under pressure—he literally leads the NFL in win probability added on pressured dropbacks. This number should be closer to 260, but we're getting 244.5.

Jaxson Dart Over 29.5 Rushing Yards is pure value.

Dart ranks third among all quarterbacks in rushing yards per game at 35.2, and he's averaging 41.6 yards on the ground over his last five games. The Patriots' defense will be keying on stopping the Giants' running backs, which opens up massive running lanes for Dart on designed runs and scrambles. He's second in the league in rushing EPA for quarterbacks and carries the ball 1.67 times per game in the red zone alone. This line is disrespectfully low.

Austin Hooper Over 10.5 Receiving Yards feels like a typo.

The Patriots tight end averages 21.3 yards per game this season—literally double this line. He's hit the over in 80% of his last five games, and with Hunter Henry nursing a toe injury and appearing limited in practice, Hooper is about to see increased target share. At home, his average jumps to 24 yards. We're getting a guy who consistently produces 20+ yards at a line set for 10.5. That's disrespect.

Jaxon crunches millions of data points in seconds, finds the hidden value sportsbooks don’t want you to see.

Try asking, “What are the advanced metrics behind RJ Barrett's three pointers including shooting location frequencies and efficiency percentages?”

Head over to NBA Sheets to access the new shooting visualizations!