One game left, and it’s a good one.

Michigan and UConn play for the national championship tonight at Lucas Oil Stadium, and the matchup is worth getting excited about.

Michigan has been the most explosive offense in the history of the tournament, becoming the first team ever to score 90 or more points in five consecutive March Madness games. Their adjusted offensive efficiency ranks fourth in the country and their defense ranks first. Aday Mara put up 26 points on 11-of-16 shooting against Arizona in the Final Four and has been the most dominant big man in the tournament. When Michigan is healthy and running, it’s tough to slow them down.

UConn is the team standing in the way of all of that, and they have been here before. Dan Hurley is chasing his third national title in four years, and his teams consistently play their best basketball when the stage is biggest. The Huskies rank 11th nationally in defensive efficiency, and their interior anchor, Tarris Reed Jr., is built to contest the rim pressure Michigan wants to create.

One of the biggest questions heading into tonight is Yaxel Lendeborg's health. Michigan's All-American suffered an ankle injury and MCL sprain in the Final Four and returned to play limited minutes while visibly favoring the leg. If Lendeborg cannot go at full capacity, Michigan loses the primary mismatch creator. More of the load falls on Elliot Cadeau and the bench contributors.

The bet to play is UConn to cover +7.5 points. Seven and a half points is a big number for any national championship game, and Dan Hurley is 21-4 against the spread in NCAA Tournament play, including 14-0 in the second round or later. A healthy Michigan probably wins this game. A hobbled one is a different story.

⚾ Stop Guessing on Home Run Props

Jaxon's Home Run Sheet gives you everything you need to find the best bats before first pitch:

Projections & Odds – See Jaxon's HR projection alongside live over/under odds
Hit Rate – Track how often each player has gone deep over their last ten games
Confidence Score – Know which plays Jaxon likes most at a glance

Click on any player to view their detailed stats and chart!

⚾️ Monday MLB: Three Teams to Hit Hard

We ran Monday's matchups through Jaxon to identify where the offensive edges are hiding across the slate. Three spots stood out immediately.

Houston Astros Over 10.5 Hits (+110)

The Astros are in about as clean a smash spot as you will find on any given Monday. They travel to Coors Field, the most hitter-friendly ballpark in baseball, to face Ryan Feltner, who is inconsistent at best.

Houston ranks first in the majors in total hits and second in team batting average at .283, averaging nearly ten hits per game across the young season. In their last five games they have recorded double-digit hits three times.

Jeremy Pena and Carlos Correa are both seeing the ball well, and the thin air at Coors will do the rest. Plus money on a lineup this hot in this park makes it a high value option tonight.

Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Hits (-182)

The Phillies draw a favorable matchup against Adrian Houser at Oracle Park, and while the team-level hits total is worth monitoring, the individual play on Schwarber is the sharper entry point.

Houser posted a 9.64 ERA in his first start of the season and profiles as a pitcher who does not miss bats, which is precisely the kind of arm Schwarber punishes. Schwarber recorded at least one hit in 80% of his last five games and 70% of his last ten.

Against the Giants specifically, he hit this prop in over 85% of his matchups last season. The price reflects the confidence, but Schwarber against a struggling right-hander is about as reliable as props get.

Brice Turang Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-144)

Milwaukee enters Fenway at 7-2 with the fourth-best OPS in baseball, and they are doing it with a lineup built around putting the ball in play and creating chaos on the bases. They lead the league in stolen bases (17) and rank second in runs scored (52).

Brayan Bello gave up eight hits in fewer than five innings in his first start of the season, and his FIP of 7.04 suggests the hard contact is here to stay.

Turang sits at the center of all of it. He is batting .364 against right-handed starters this season and carries a 2.969 OPS in those matchups. His stolen base ability turns singles into scoring opportunities and keeps his hits, runs, and RBIs combination ticking upward. He has averaged 2.4 in that category over his last five games and cleared 1.5 in 60% of those contests. Back him to do it again Monday.

🌲 The Pine Line

💰️ Pine’s First Basket sheet lets you identify the most likely opening scorers. Check it out here before tonight’s tipoff.

🤔 Is this the worst bet ever posted by a sportsbook? Odds are 24-1 for something that has never happened.

🏀 The way the Bruins handled the moment said it all. They deserved to lift the trophy after this rout.

⚾️ A 4-5 record to start the season in Chicago. They’re hoping a key batter returns to the lineup soon.

🗑️ Fired with four games left in the season. The Islanders’ playoff picture makes this as desperate as it sounds.

⛳️ A First Look at the 2026 Masters Tournament

by Ed Egros 👉️ Follow on X @EdWithSports

It’s Masters week!  Bets involving matchups and finishing positions like Top 5 or Top 20 finish are getting posted on sportsbooks as you are reading this post, but right now let’s preview the tournament and offer a couple of picks to win.

Winning The Masters

The list of the last several champions of the first major of the year reads like a “Who’s Who” of golf: 

2025: Rory McIlroy

2024: Scottie Scheffler

2023: Jon Rahm

2022: Scottie Scheffler

2021: Hideki Matsuyama

2020: Dustin Johnson

2019: Tiger Woods

It makes sense given the challenges of the course: 7,565 yards (quite long for any golf course), a par of 72 and incredible elevation changes that make it one of the more “hilly” courses on the calendar.

What to Look For in a Winner

If you watch several hours of coverage, you’ll probably hear this fact multiple times: the last time anyone won the Masters their first time playing the tournament was Fuzzy Zoeller in 1979.  

There’s signal to that noise.  Experience and past success are major indicators for winning this major.  In fact, of golf’s four majors, favorites tend to perform better at the Masters than at any other tournament.  It’s the same course and it tends to be the same list of names dominating.

Another reason for that trend is the field.  There are 91 players competing at Augusta National, a much smaller field compared with other majors.  Fewer golfers means fewer random names preventing the experienced from making the cut and getting into contention.  

The 2026 Favorites

History is one big reason why Scottie Scheffler is a significant favorite to win again.  In six appearances, he’s won it twice, finished tied for tenth or better four times and never finished worse than 19th.  

Jon Rahm and Rory McIlroy also have shorter odds on the board as they also have donned the Green Jacket before.

Who to Bet On

Let’s use Jaxon’s AI tools and find value among the favorites to win the Masters and sprinkle a little cash on a longshot.

Collin Morikawa to Win (+3100)

Because the 17th hole (Nandina) has been lengthened and the course still features those tiered Bentgrass greens, the approach game may be what separates the contenders from the rest of the field.

Guess who currently leads the PGA Tour in Strokes Gained: Approach the Green?  Collin Morikawa.  He’s finished in the top 20 in each of his last five appearances at Augusta.   

His health is perhaps the biggest reason why his number is longer than what the stats suggest.  He withdrew from the Valero Texas Open last weekend because of a back injury.  He also withdrew from the PLAYERS Championship a few weeks before that.  

But, if he’s healthy, his history at Augusta National and his recent form suggest he could be a force this week.

Ludvig Åberg to Win (+1750)

In just two appearances, Åberg finished runner-up and tied for 7th at the Masters.  Recent form is also promising, having finished tied for fifth at the PLAYERS Championship, which included carding a 63 in the second round.  

It feels like it’s only a matter of time before Åberg wears the Green Jacket.

The Season is Just Getting Started

Ask Jaxon about the ABS Challenge impact, early pitching trends, and which player props are already showing value.

Then hit the MLB sheets to shop lines and build your card.

Pine Sports has the edge, go get it!