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š Sharp Moves for Week 8
Hereās where the smart money landed
This World Series is a truly global event this year. Itās the first time since 1993 that we have teams from separate countries. ALCS Game 7, the game that sent Toronto to the World Series, was the most-watched Blue Jays game in Sportsnet history reaching nearly 12 million Canadians. The Dodgersā four-game NLCS sweep was the most-watched NLCS in Japan, averaging over 7 million viewers.
Ohtani has delivered one of the greatest two-way seasons ever, highlighted by his NLCS Game 4 masterpiece of six scoreless innings, 10 strikeouts, and three home runs. His 9.4 WAR in the regular season cements him as the MVP favorite. Guerrero has been unstoppable at the plate for Toronto, batting .442/.510/.930 this postseason with a 1.440 OPS which could place him among the top four all-time single-postseason hitters.
My top Game 1 Prop is for Blake Snell to record Over 17.5 Outs. Snell has been exceptional, posting a 3-0 record with a 0.86 ERA in the postseason. His combined regular season and playoff ERA sits at 1.97, and he averages 10.9 strikeouts per nine innings. He has allowed three runs or fewer in 13 of his 14 starts this season. Snell went 8 full innings in his last start and the Dodgersā strategy is to let starters go long.
One player who I think should get a hit against Snell is Ernie Clement. Clement Over 0.5 Hits has been a consistent winner in the playoffs. Not only that but Ernie has hit in 79% of games against Left handed starters this season.
Wherever you are in the world, get ready for an exciting World Series!
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š NFL Week 8 Best Bets
by Tony Reyes
Why Sharp Money Is HAMMERING The Panthers +7.5

The public thinks this game is a blowout waiting to happen.
They see Buffalo coming off a bye week, desperate after two straight losses. They see Carolina starting backup QB Andy Dalton with Bryce Young out. They see 4-2 versus 4-3 and think it's easy money on the Bills laying -7.5 points.
79% of all bets are on Buffalo. But here's what the sharps see that the public is completely missing...
The Bills have the WORST run defense in football. They're ranked dead last ā 32nd ā in yards per carry allowed at 5.75. They're giving up 156.33 rushing yards per game (31st in the NFL). And their key defensive players like Matt Milano and DaQuan Jones are questionable.
Meanwhile, Carolina ranks 3rd in the entire league in rushing yards per game at 140.14. With Dalton starting instead of Young, the Panthers' game plan is crystal clear: pound the rock with Rico Dowdle and Chuba Hubbard until Buffalo breaks.
Here's the kicker that proves the sharps are right...
Despite 79% of bets being on the Bills, the line HASN'T MOVED. It's stuck at -7.5. That's called a "line freeze," meaning massive professional money is flooding in on Carolina to counterbalance all that public action.
The numbers prove it: At Circa Sportsbook, only 19% of bets are on the Panthers, but those bets account for 49% of the TOTAL MONEY wagered. That's sharp money. Big money. Professional money.
Andy Dalton is 46-39 ATS (54%) as an underdog in his career. Big home dogs getting 7+ points are 40-11-2 ATS since 2020. The Bills are 2-4 ATS this season and have lost four straight against the spread.
The sharps aren't betting on Carolina to win outright. They're betting on Carolina to run the ball, control the clock, and keep this game within a touchdown.
Take Panthers +7.5.
Why The Cowboys' Defense Makes This Over A Lock

The public sees Dallas and thinks shootout. They're not wrong. But here's what makes the Over 49.5 an absolute LOCK that nobody's talking about...
The Cowboys rank 2nd in the NFL, scoring at 31.71 points per game. Dak Prescott is playing MVP-level football. Their offensive line has only allowed 8 sacks all season ā that's 2nd-best in the league. This offense is a machine.
But the real story? Their defense is historically BAD.
Dallas ranks 30th in points allowed at 29.43 per game. They're dead LASTā32ndāin total yards allowed at 434.71 per game. Their pass defense is 31st, and their run defense is 30th. This unit cannot stop anyone.
The Cowboys have exceeded the total in four straight games. Their season O/U record is 5-2. Their recent combined scores are 57, 62, and 80 points. These aren't flukes. This is who they are.
Now they're facing a Denver team that just scored 33 points in a single quarter last week. The Broncos rank 6th in rushing yards, and Dallas ranks 30th in rush defense allowed. Denver is going to EAT on the ground all game.
The public is LOADING up on the Cowboys +3.5 (85% of the money), thinking they can hang with Denver. The sharps? They're likely on the Under, trusting Denver's elite defense (4th in points allowed) and their historical 2-5 O/U record.
But here's what the sharps are missing...
The Cowboys' defense is so BAD that it doesn't matter how good Denver's defense is. Dallas will score 28-31 points, and Denver will score 24-27 against that terrible Dallas defense.
That's 52-58 combined points. Take Over 49.5.
š² The Pine Line
š 5 touchdown bets the books are sleeping on. See why these TD props are pure value.
š Just your average morning in the NBA. Shootaround, media availability, and a visit from the FBI.
š Nobodyās talking enough about New Jersey right now. Six straight wins and a penalty kill that refuses to give an inch.
š°ļø The lines between betting and prediction markets just got even blurrier. Most sportsbooks are still watching from afar.
šļø A new kind of freedom coming for college athletes. Itās something the NCAA swore theyād never touch.
š Week 8 Player Prop Edge
Thereās no shortage of opinions when it comes to NFL betting. Jaxon, our AI betting engine, filters through every snap, every efficiency rating, and every game script variable to isolate what really matters. This week, three games have a measurable edge that the market hasnāt fully priced in.
Giants vs. Eagles: Two Paths, One Opportunity
The Eagles remain one of the most efficient teams in football, ranking inside the top ten in overall DVOA, while the Giants sit in the bottom third. Yet, the deeper data shows that both teams struggle in the same areas: pass protection and run defense.
Both offensive lines are allowing sacks at an alarming rate, and both defenses rank near the bottom of the league in yards per carry allowed. That combination creates an environment where two specific player types thrive.
Short-area receivers and mobile quarterbacks.
A.J. Brown Over 4.5 Receptions
Brown is one of the most reliable wideouts in football and has hit this mark in roughly seventy percent of his games over the past season and a half. The Giantsā secondary ranks among the worst in the league against opposing receivers, allowing completions on well over two-thirds of targets to the position.
The Eaglesā running game has sputtered, ranking near the bottom of the NFL in yards per carry, and may rely on high-percentage throws to move the chains. His route tree is built around slants, quick outs, and intermediate crossers that can neutralize a pass rush.
Brown caught six passes in their previous meeting this season. With Philadelphia looking to bounce back after a recent loss and re-establish rhythm on offense, expect heavy usage again.
Jaxson Dart Over 37.5 Rushing Yards
This one is more of a hidden gem. The Eagles have allowed the fifth-most rushing yards to opposing QBs and give up more than nine yards per scramble. Dartās rushing has become a key part of the Giantsā offense. Heās averaging close to thirty yards per game, but that number jumps significantly when facing teams with strong pass coverage.
Against Philadelphia earlier this season, he ran for fifty-eight yards. The Eaglesā secondary remains among the leagueās best in completion percentage allowed, which means more broken plays and more scrambling opportunities. With both offensive lines struggling, the pocket will collapse often, and Dartās legs will be the Giantsā best escape plan.
Cowboys vs. Broncos: The Clash of Extremes
Every season features at least one game where the stats point to complete stylistic chaos. This week, that game is Dallas against Denver.
Dallas has one of the leagueās most explosive offenses, ranking sixth in offensive efficiency and second in points scored per game. They move the ball through the air with precision and rarely allow sacks thanks to one of the best offensive lines in football.
Their defense tells the opposite story. The Cowboys are near the bottom in nearly every major defensive category. They rank thirtieth in yards allowed per game, thirtieth in points allowed, and dead last in yards allowed per carry. They simply cannot stop the run.
J.K. Dobbins Over 72.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
This is the kind of pick that checks every box. Dobbins controls more than seventy percent of the Broncosā running back touches and enters a matchup against a defense that ranks near the bottom of the league in stopping the run. The Cowboys have been gashed all season by power backs, allowing big plays on outside zone runs and struggling with tackles at the second level.
Dobbins is averaging nearly 78 total yards per game and has cleared this mark in four of his last five outings. When Denver plays at home, his usage spikes even higher, with an average north of 84 yards.
This is Jaxonās highest-rated edge of the week, and for good reason. The data, the matchup, and the expected flow all point to Dobbins being heavily involved from start to finish.
š°ļø Sunday Night Football SGP
The Packers enter Week 8 ranking sixth in total DVOA, ninth on offense, and sixth on defense, giving them a clear statistical edge over Pittsburgh. The Steelersā pass rush is elite, leading the league in pressures, but their secondary has been a disaster, allowing more than 300 passing yards per game.
Green Bayās run defense has been dominant, giving up only 76.5 yards per game, which should make it tough for Pittsburghās struggling ground game to find any rhythm. That sets up a pass-heavy script for Aaron Rodgers, which benefits Green Bayās receivers.
Romeo Doubs Over 52.5 Receiving Yards
Pittsburghās secondary has been shredded all year, giving up a league-worst 305.8 passing yards per game and a massive 137.5 yards per game to outside receivers. Doubs fits perfectly into that soft spot. With Watson out and Wicks sidelined, Doubs is the clear WR1 for Jordan Love. Heās seen target shares of 35% and 28% in his last two games and has topped this number in four of six overall. His average of 51 yards per game sits just below the line, but the combination of increased volume and the worst pass defense in football makes the Over look like the right side.
Pat Freiermuth Over 1.5 Receptions
Green Bay ranks dead last in the NFL against tight ends, allowing frequent short completions over the middle. Freiermuth has cleared this mark in 80% of his last 10 games, averaging nearly four catches per contest over that span. With Pittsburgh expected to play from behind and the Packersā front likely neutralizing the run, Rodgers should lean on Freiermuth early as a safety valve against pressure.
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