šŸˆ Week 1 Was Wild. Now What?

Week 1 shocks, Commanders-Packers TNF, and Week 2 Survivor picks.

There’s something magical about sports when history gets made. Records aren’t just numbers on a stat sheet, they’re proof that you just witnessed something rare, maybe even once-in-a-lifetime. Think about Daniel Jones and the Colts this weekend: seven straight scoring drives. No quarterback this century has done it, and he snapped Indy’s decade-long curse in the process.

Then you’ve got Aaron Rodgers still etching his name into the record books. Four touchdowns, no picks, and now he’s tied with Tom Brady for the most games of that kind in NFL history. He’s also neck-and-neck with Peyton Manning for four-plus TD outings.

Even rookies are leaving their mark. J.J. McCarthy may not have blown up the box score, but becoming the first quarterback ever to score three fourth-quarter TDs in his debut is the kind of stat that’ll be remembered.

And don’t forget Jalen Hurts. Sixteen games with multiple rushing TDs is the most ever by a quarterback. In an era where mobile QBs keep redefining the position, Hurts is outpacing everyone who came before him.

Every Sunday, someone has the chance to break a record, snap a streak, or carve their name into history. And when it happens, you’re watching the game evolve.

šŸ† Props Battle is Here

Week 1 is in the books, but the battle continues in Discord. Cast your vote and prove you know football better than the crowd.

Props Battle

āœ… Get it right → you’re in the running for $50 cash this week
āœ… Stack wins all season → top spot scores a full year of Jaxon Premium ($999 value)

It’s free. It’s easy. And it’s only happening in the Pine Sports Discord. Go vote and join the battle.

šŸ§€ Thursday Night Showdown in Green Bay

Week 1 gave us a glimpse of two teams that look sharp to start the season. Washington smothered the Giants with a defense that suddenly looked revitalized, holding them to just six points and flashing a pass rush that never let up. Jayden Daniels added his own spark, not just with his arm but with his legs, proving he can tilt games when the play breaks down. 

On the other side, Green Bay rolled past Detroit in a statement win, pairing Jordan Love’s confident command of the offense with the instant impact of Micah Parsons, who made life miserable for Jared Goff from the opening snap.

When you put those performances side by side, it sets up Thursday night as a clash of two teams trending upward, both with momentum and game-changing stars. Let’s break it down further and spotlight the plays worth targeting.

Jacory Croskey-Merritt Over 42.5 Rushing Yards

Croskey Merritt stats

Jaxon’s Take: Croskey-Merritt, aka ā€œBillā€, exploded for 82 yards in Week 1 and instantly became the centerpiece of Washington’s ground game. The Commanders piled up 220 rushing yards as a team, and Bill’s volume suggests his role isn’t a fluke. Yes, Green Bay’s run defense just bottled up Detroit, but 42.5 is a soft line. If Washington leans on him again, this over has real value.

My Take: Bill has only played one game but has already earned the trust of his coaches and team. I don’t think they suddenly go away from him after a big debut week. He’s widely expected to be the Commanders’ RB1 and may be on track for higher volume faster than anticipated. 

Austin Ekeler Over 45.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards

Austin Ekeler Stats

Jaxon’s Take: Ekeler’s dual-threat ability was on full display in Week 1 with 57 combined yards. He’s cleared this number in 80% of his last 15 games, averaging nearly 60 per outing. Even with the questionable tag, when he’s on the field he’s heavily involved, and Washington’s offense looked explosive enough to keep feeding him. At just 45.5, this line leaves plenty of room for him to hit the over on either the ground or through the air.

My Take: Ekeler seems like the go-to receiving back while Bill will be getting the bulk of the carries (if Daniels doesn’t just run it himself). I don’t expect Daniels to have much time to make decisions which could coincide with more short targets for Ekeler. 

Romeo Doubs Over 41.5 Receiving Yards

Romeo Doubs stats

Jaxon’s Take: Doubs opened the year with 68 yards from 2 receptions, clearing this line with room to spare, and history says he’s more likely than not to repeat it. With Christian Watson sidelined, Doubs’ target share only figures to climb, and Jordan Love’s Week 1 efficiency makes this spot even more appealing. At 41.5, the bar is set low for a receiver who should be involved.

My Take: Love looks comfortable, and Doubs is his big-play guy right now. I’d bet this line doesn’t stay this low for long with Christian Watson out. 

Jordan Love Under 30.5 Passing Attempts

Jordan Love stats

Jaxon’s Take: Love didn’t need volume to shine in Week 1, tossing just 22 passes while carving up Detroit’s defense with efficiency. He’s stayed under this mark in 8 of his last 10 games, and 10 of his last 15 overall. Green Bay showed they’re comfortable leaning on the run and dialing things back with a lead, and Washington’s defense could also suppress possessions. The under looks like the sharper side here.

My Take: Green Bay wants to play smart, balanced football, not air it out. Unless Washington forces a shootout, I think Love stays under again. You can get better value finding Under 29.5 at about -110. 

 šŸŒ² The Pine Line

😱 49ers win the battle, but lose their QB? San Francisco’s victory came at a cost.

⚾ The Yankees’ Top-5 HR list stood untouched since 1966… until last night.

🄶 QB Drama already? Ugly Week 1 sparked controversy in New York.

🤮 ā€œSpitgateā€ resolved. One loogie = one game check.

šŸ’ ā€œThis is Christmas Day for us.ā€ The NHL’s new CBA finally delivers a safety net for former players.

šŸ”„ TNF Endzone Seekers

The best way to sweat a primetime game? Pick who’s crossing the goal line. Here are my two favorite bets to light up the scoreboard on TNF.

Josh Jacobs - First Touchdown Scorer (Odds: +325)

Josh Jacobs First Touchdown

I’m using a DraftKings No Sweat Bet for this play. Josh Jacobs is riding a ridiculous heater with nine straight games scoring a touchdown. Green Bay leaned on him immediately in Week 1.

The Commanders defense ranked bottom-five against the run last season which puts him in the perfect spot to keep the streak alive. With the Packers running nearly a third of their snaps in the red zone last week, Jacobs has a real shot to hit paydirt first.

Deebo Samuel - Anytime Touchdown (Odds: +175)

Deebo Touchdown Scorer

Deebo Samuel is already proving to be Washington’s offensive spark. Ten targets, 77 receiving yards, plus a 19-yard rushing score in his debut — the Commanders clearly want the ball in his hands. Between his dual-threat skillset and Jayden Daniels’ quick-hit passing style, Deebo feels like a strong anytime TD play at +175. I’m taking this at over +200 after a boost.

šŸ… Survivor Pool Week 2

Both of our picks survived Week 1! The Broncos took care of business at home against Tennessee, and the Cardinals handled the Saints just as expected. A clean 2-for-2 start, and now it’s on to Week 2.

I expect the Ravens to be one of the most popular selections this weekend, but I’m passing. They’re double-digit favorites (-10.5) but divisional games bring more risk and Cleveland has taken two of the last three meetings. I’d rather save Baltimore for a better spot (like Week 9 in Miami). 

Path A: Arizona Cardinals (-6.5 vs CAR) 

Click to Read More About this Matchup šŸ‘†ļø 

Carolina can’t buy a road win. They’ve lost 16 of their last 18 away games. In Week 1, Bryce Young threw two picks and only completed 18 of 35 pass attempts as the Panthers only scored 10 points.

The Cardinals leaned on a balanced attack and tough defense to beat the Saints 20-13. Kyler Murray threw two TD passes and chipped in on the ground as they ran for 146 yards as a team at 5.4 yards per carry. Arizona looks like the more complete team heading into Week 2 and should be able to control the game. 

Path B: Los Angeles Rams (-5.5 at TEN)

Click to Read More About this Matchup šŸ‘†ļø

The Titans have dropped 16 of their last 20, including a brutal 1-7 home record last year where they were outscored 184 to 128. Week 1 wasn’t much better, rookie QB Cam Ward completed just 12 passes and was sacked six times.

The Rams opened with a gritty 14-9 win over Houston, holding the Texans under 10 points and generating three sacks of their own. Against Tennessee’s leaky O-line, and with all their offensive firepower, L.A. feels like the safer Survivor play.

Records fall every week in the NFL.

The only question is which one’s next. What stat or streak do you think gets broken this season? Let us know on X @PineSports_Ai or in the Pine Sports Discord.