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š NFL Edges Hiding in Plain Sight
We've spotted the plays that stand out this week.
The NFL is expanding its footprint like never before. In 2025, fans will see a record eight international games, up from five last year. Not only a return to Sao Paulo, new stops include Dublin, Madrid, and Berlin. In 2026, Melbourne will make history with its first-ever regular season game.
With all 32 teams holding marketing rights in 21 international markets, the league is planting roots abroad. The demand is there: Brazilās debut game had 150,000 ticket requests for just 10% of seats available.
But the move brings challenges. Extra travel strains players, and the push is tied to ongoing debate about an 18-game season. Field issues and market hurdles (like postponed plans in China) also raise questions.
The payoff? Massive revenue, new fan bases, and a shot at becoming a true global sport. The risk? Stretching players and logistics to the limit.
š¤ Jaxon ā Your Edge Against the Books
Tired of guessing? Just ask Jaxon.
Jaxon crunches millions of data points in seconds, finds the hidden value sportsbooks donāt want you to see, and delivers it straight to you.
šÆ Player Props ā Discover the sharpest matchups before kickoff
š Plus EV Finder ā Spot the bets where the math is on your side
š° News & Injuries ā Get the updates that actually move lines
š Survivor Pool Optimization ā Build the path that keeps you alive longest
Whether youāre chasing player props, hunting +EV, or want instant answers to questions like āHow does CJ Stroud do at Home against other AFC South teams?ā, Jaxon has you covered.
Itās simple. Itās powerful. And your first questions are free.
š Sunday Matchups & Best Bets
Three matchups, three betting edges. If youāre looking for value beyond the box score, these are the spots youāll want circled.
Los Angeles Chargers vs. New York Giants
Game Prediction: Chargers -5.5
The Chargers have scored more points (70 vs. 52), sustained drives with a 47.5% third-down conversion rate, and turned the ball over just once compared to the Giantsā three giveaways. Their passing game (7.96 YPA) has been far more efficient than New Yorkās.
Defensively, Los Angeles has allowed just 50 points and 920 yards, while New York has surrendered 83 points and over 1,300 yards. The Chargers also hold opponents to 5.44 yards per play and just 58% completions, compared to the Giantsā 6.29 and 66%. Itās tough to see the Giants holding up.
š„ Keenan Allen Over 4.5 Receptions
Allen has caught at least 5 passes in every game this year (19 on 28 targets total). Facing a Giants defense ranked 31st vs. wideout receptions, he should remain the go-to option in the Chargersā passing attack.
Carolina Panthers @ New England Patriots
Game Prediction: Patriots -4.5
The Patriots hold a clear edge, averaging 5.85 yards per play to Carolinaās 4.76, with Drake Mayeās 7.41 yards per attempt nearly two full yards better than the Panthers. New England also generates pressure (19.1%) and sacks (10.1%) at a much higher rate. Bad news for a Carolina offense that already struggles to sustain drives.
Carolinaās defense has been respectable, allowing fewer points (53 vs. 68) and a lower completion rate. But their inability to consistently generate pressure limits their upside against Mayeās passing attack. Add in a lengthy injury list for the Panthers, and the matchup tilts further toward New England.
š„ TreVeyon Henderson Over 16.5 Receiving Yards
With Rhamondre Stevensonās fumbling issues opening the door, Hendersonās role in the backfield is expanding. Heās averaging 24.3 yards per game, hitting this over in every appearance. Against a Carolina defense ranked 22nd vs. RB receiving yards, he should remain a reliable outlet.
TreVeyon has caught every single target thrown his way this season (11/11).
Chicago Bears @ Las Vegas Raiders
Game Prediction: Bears +1.5
Chicago has been more productive scoring 76 points to the Raidersā 53. They own a slight edge in efficiency, averaging 6.1 yards per play and a strong 4.15 yards per carry, compared to the Raidersā 6.01 and 3.06.
Defensively, the Raiders are allowing fewer points (74 vs. 93) and generating more pressure (17.0% vs. 12.9%). Their higher sack rate (6.4% vs. 3.2%) suggests Chicagoās offensive line will be tested. Still, with Chicagoās balanced attack and recent momentum they have a path to cover on the road.
š„ DJ Moore Over 44.5 Receiving Yards
Moore has topped this number in 80% of his last 10 games, averaging over 70 yards. Against a Raiders defense ranked 28th vs. wideouts, heās well-positioned for another productive day. If the Bears cover, expect Moore to be heavily involved.
š² The Pine Line
šŖ Someoneās looking different this season. The Pelicans star hasnāt felt (or looked) this good since college.
š¹ Do a kickflip! The deck used to land the first-ever 900 just fetched over $1 million.
ā¾ļø Baseball broadcasts are heading to Hollywood. You wonāt find Opening Day on cable next year.
š The Lakers just sent a clear message about LeBronās future. How will he write the ending?
š Fans everywhere are glued to the games. When it comes to betting on them, Canada and the U.S. are worlds apart.
šø āNo refunds.ā Parsons doesnāt need any tickets for return to Dallas.
š Sunday Spotlight: Packers @ Cowboys
Dallas has been more explosive between the two, racking up 1,251 total yards and 74 points compared to Green Bayās 1,014 yards and 64 points. The Cowboysā ground game, averaging 5.36 yards per carry, is a clear strength, but theyāve also been sloppy with the ball, committing four turnovers to the Packersā one. Green Bayās passing attack has been more efficient, with Jordan Love averaging 8.5 yards per attempt compared to just 6.4 for Dak Prescott.
Defensively, the gap is wider. Green Bay has allowed only 44 points all year. Dallas allowed 37 just to the Giantsā¦
The Packers are generating consistent pressure with eight sacks and holding opponents to just 4.45 yards per play. Dallas, meanwhile, has given up 92 points and is allowing 3rd-down conversions at a 55% rate.
Green Bay has beaten the Cowboys five straight times, scoring 31+ in each, and the numbers suggest that streak could continue.
Romeo Doubs Under 3.5 Receptions
Doubs has struggled to consistently hit this mark, staying under in all three games this season (0% over rate). Heās averaging just 2.3 receptions per game in 2025 and has hit the over in only 20% of his last five and last ten games. Even with Dallas ranking 24th against WR receptions, Doubsā low usage makes the under the sharper side.
Jordan Love Under 19.5 Completions
Love has yet to clear this number in 2025, averaging just 17.7 completions per game. Across his last five games, heās averaged 15.8, with zero overs in that span. Despite Dallas ranking 24th against QB completions, Loveās consistent efficiency, paired with just 26 attempts per game, points to the under again.
Dak Prescott Over 0.5 Interceptions
Prescott has averaged 1.0 interception per game this season, hitting the over in two of three starts (67%). His rolling averages over the last five and ten games remain steady at 1.0+. With Green Bay ranking middle of the pack against QB picks but generating strong pressure, Prescott throwing at least one interception looks like a high-probability outcome.
In case you missed itā¦
Both of our Survivor Pool entries are still alive and we sent out our Week 4 plays the other day! Let us know if youāre tailing by tagging us on X @PineSports_AI or sending us a message on TikTok, or Discord!






