šŸˆ NFL Edges Hiding in Plain Sight

We've spotted the plays that stand out this week.

The NFL is expanding its footprint like never before. In 2025, fans will see a record eight international games, up from five last year. Not only a return to Sao Paulo, new stops include Dublin, Madrid, and Berlin. In 2026, Melbourne will make history with its first-ever regular season game.

With all 32 teams holding marketing rights in 21 international markets, the league is planting roots abroad. The demand is there: Brazil’s debut game had 150,000 ticket requests for just 10% of seats available.

But the move brings challenges. Extra travel strains players, and the push is tied to ongoing debate about an 18-game season. Field issues and market hurdles (like postponed plans in China) also raise questions.

The payoff? Massive revenue, new fan bases, and a shot at becoming a true global sport. The risk? Stretching players and logistics to the limit.

šŸ¤– Jaxon – Your Edge Against the Books

Tired of guessing? Just ask Jaxon.

Jaxon crunches millions of data points in seconds, finds the hidden value sportsbooks don’t want you to see, and delivers it straight to you.

Jaxon AI Trial

šŸŽÆ Player Props → Discover the sharpest matchups before kickoff
šŸ’Ž Plus EV Finder → Spot the bets where the math is on your side
šŸ“° News & Injuries → Get the updates that actually move lines
šŸˆ Survivor Pool Optimization → Build the path that keeps you alive longest

Whether you’re chasing player props, hunting +EV, or want instant answers to questions like ā€œHow does CJ Stroud do at Home against other AFC South teams?ā€, Jaxon has you covered.

It’s simple. It’s powerful. And your first questions are free.

šŸˆ Sunday Matchups & Best Bets

Three matchups, three betting edges. If you’re looking for value beyond the box score, these are the spots you’ll want circled.

Los Angeles Chargers vs. New York Giants

Chargers v Giants

šŸ‘†ļø View Advanced Metrics

Game Prediction: Chargers -5.5

The Chargers have scored more points (70 vs. 52), sustained drives with a 47.5% third-down conversion rate, and turned the ball over just once compared to the Giants’ three giveaways. Their passing game (7.96 YPA) has been far more efficient than New York’s.

Defensively, Los Angeles has allowed just 50 points and 920 yards, while New York has surrendered 83 points and over 1,300 yards. The Chargers also hold opponents to 5.44 yards per play and just 58% completions, compared to the Giants’ 6.29 and 66%. It’s tough to see the Giants holding up.

šŸ”„ Keenan Allen Over 4.5 Receptions

Allen has caught at least 5 passes in every game this year (19 on 28 targets total). Facing a Giants defense ranked 31st vs. wideout receptions, he should remain the go-to option in the Chargers’ passing attack.

Carolina Panthers @ New England Patriots

Panthers v Patriots

šŸ‘†ļø View Advanced Metrics

Game Prediction: Patriots -4.5

The Patriots hold a clear edge, averaging 5.85 yards per play to Carolina’s 4.76, with Drake Maye’s 7.41 yards per attempt nearly two full yards better than the Panthers. New England also generates pressure (19.1%) and sacks (10.1%) at a much higher rate. Bad news for a Carolina offense that already struggles to sustain drives.

Carolina’s defense has been respectable, allowing fewer points (53 vs. 68) and a lower completion rate. But their inability to consistently generate pressure limits their upside against Maye’s passing attack. Add in a lengthy injury list for the Panthers, and the matchup tilts further toward New England.

šŸ”„ TreVeyon Henderson Over 16.5 Receiving Yards

With Rhamondre Stevenson’s fumbling issues opening the door, Henderson’s role in the backfield is expanding. He’s averaging 24.3 yards per game, hitting this over in every appearance. Against a Carolina defense ranked 22nd vs. RB receiving yards, he should remain a reliable outlet.

TreVeyon has caught every single target thrown his way this season (11/11).

Chicago Bears @ Las Vegas Raiders

Bears v Raiders

šŸ‘†ļø View Advanced Metrics

Game Prediction: Bears +1.5

Chicago has been more productive scoring 76 points to the Raiders’ 53. They own a slight edge in efficiency, averaging 6.1 yards per play and a strong 4.15 yards per carry, compared to the Raiders’ 6.01 and 3.06.

Defensively, the Raiders are allowing fewer points (74 vs. 93) and generating more pressure (17.0% vs. 12.9%). Their higher sack rate (6.4% vs. 3.2%) suggests Chicago’s offensive line will be tested. Still, with Chicago’s balanced attack and recent momentum they have a path to cover on the road.

šŸ”„ DJ Moore Over 44.5 Receiving Yards

Moore has topped this number in 80% of his last 10 games, averaging over 70 yards. Against a Raiders defense ranked 28th vs. wideouts, he’s well-positioned for another productive day. If the Bears cover, expect Moore to be heavily involved.

🌲 The Pine Line

šŸ’Ŗ Someone’s looking different this season. The Pelicans star hasn’t felt (or looked) this good since college. 

āš¾ļø Baseball broadcasts are heading to Hollywood. You won’t find Opening Day on cable next year. 

šŸ‘‘ The Lakers just sent a clear message about LeBron’s future. How will he write the ending?

šŸ‘€ Fans everywhere are glued to the games. When it comes to betting on them, Canada and the U.S. are worlds apart. 

šŸ‘‘ Sunday Spotlight: Packers @ Cowboys

Dallas has been more explosive between the two, racking up 1,251 total yards and 74 points compared to Green Bay’s 1,014 yards and 64 points. The Cowboys’ ground game, averaging 5.36 yards per carry, is a clear strength, but they’ve also been sloppy with the ball, committing four turnovers to the Packers’ one. Green Bay’s passing attack has been more efficient, with Jordan Love averaging 8.5 yards per attempt compared to just 6.4 for Dak Prescott.

Defensively, the gap is wider. Green Bay has allowed only 44 points all year. Dallas allowed 37 just to the Giants…

The Packers are generating consistent pressure with eight sacks and holding opponents to just 4.45 yards per play. Dallas, meanwhile, has given up 92 points and is allowing 3rd-down conversions at a 55% rate.

Green Bay has beaten the Cowboys five straight times, scoring 31+ in each, and the numbers suggest that streak could continue.

Romeo Doubs Under 3.5 Receptions

Romeo Doubs Under Receptions

šŸ‘†ļø Read Detailed Insights

Doubs has struggled to consistently hit this mark, staying under in all three games this season (0% over rate). He’s averaging just 2.3 receptions per game in 2025 and has hit the over in only 20% of his last five and last ten games. Even with Dallas ranking 24th against WR receptions, Doubs’ low usage makes the under the sharper side.

Jordan Love Under 19.5 Completions

Jordan Love Under Completions

šŸ‘†ļø Read Detailed Insights

Love has yet to clear this number in 2025, averaging just 17.7 completions per game. Across his last five games, he’s averaged 15.8, with zero overs in that span. Despite Dallas ranking 24th against QB completions, Love’s consistent efficiency, paired with just 26 attempts per game, points to the under again.

Dak Prescott Over 0.5 Interceptions

Dak Prescott Over Interceptions

šŸ‘†ļø Read Detailed Insights

Prescott has averaged 1.0 interception per game this season, hitting the over in two of three starts (67%). His rolling averages over the last five and ten games remain steady at 1.0+. With Green Bay ranking middle of the pack against QB picks but generating strong pressure, Prescott throwing at least one interception looks like a high-probability outcome.

In case you missed it…

Both of our Survivor Pool entries are still alive and we sent out our Week 4 plays the other day! Let us know if you’re tailing by tagging us on X @PineSports_AI or sending us a message on TikTok, or Discord!