Back in August, I highlighted DraftKings’ new Fast Futures market, short-term bets designed to give you a taste of futures action without waiting until January. We took a couple swings.

The first one was simple: would any running back clear 450 rushing yards in four weeks? Jaxon’s model said no way. To get there, a player would need to average 112.5 yards per game, something even elite backs rarely sustain out of the gate. Sure enough, no one hit it. Jonathan Taylor came closest at 414 so chalk one up for the math.

The second bet was all about passing touchdowns. Jaxon leaned on Joe Burrow (+370), while I zagged with Baker Mayfield (+850). Reality had other plans. Burrow’s early injury made him a non-factor, Baker delivered a respectable 8, but Lamar Jackson stormed the leaderboard with 10 in the first four weeks.

What’s the takeaway? Futures, fast or long-term, are a balancing act. Models and projections give you the baseline. Gut calls and storylines add to the chaos. We’ll keep an eye on the rest of our NFL Future predictions and report back at the end of the year.

🏆 Props Battle Continues

We have already given out $200 to users this season but the battle continues in Discord. Cast your vote and prove you know football better than the community.

✅ Get it right → you’re in the running for $50 cash this week
✅ Stack wins all season → top spot scores a full year of Jaxon Premium ($999 value)

It’s free. It’s easy. And it’s only happening in the Pine Sports Discord. Go vote and join the battle.

🏈 49ers at Rams: Purdy Injury Impact

The storyline for Thursday Night Football is simple: Brock Purdy’s toe.

The 49ers’ quarterback has been a DNP in practice, and San Francisco enters as an underdog for the first time in a while. That single injury shifts everything about how the Niners will attack.

If Purdy is limited, or if a backup steps in, expect a conservative, run-heavy game plan. That means rushing props get a boost while receiving props take a major hit. 

It’s not just about the QB either. Brandon Aiyuk is already ruled OUT, and George Kittle is on IR. That’s two top weapons sidelined and even the ‘healthy’ receivers (Jauan Jennings, Ricky Pearsall) are questionable.

Brian Robinson Jr. Over 15.5 Rushing Yards (-113 DraftKings)

Robinson has cleared this number in 80% of his last 10 games and is averaging 24.0 yards per game this season. Even against a tough Rams run defense, the expected increase in volume due to game plan adjustments makes this line too low to ignore.

Davante Adams Anytime Touchdown (+115 DraftKings)

Adams is the Rams’ most reliable scoring threat and has already cashed this prop in 3 of 4 games. He leads the NFL in red zone targets (10) and inside-the-10 targets (6). Even against a strong San Francisco defense ranked 7th vs. WRs, his elite usage and plus-money odds make this a high-value play.

🌲The Pine Line

🏈 Survivor Pools are brutal. Two teams rise above the rest this week.

💰 $136 million. Eight years. The richest deal in NHL history.

📉 Sports betting giants just took a hit. Over half a billion dollars traded in prediction markets this weekend. 

✅ Did you cash out? All four MNF Player Props cashed this week!

👀 Prime Video just added something big for NBA fans. This could transform your viewing experience. 

📺️ From the NFL to the World Cup. DraftKings’ newest partnership puts them everywhere fans are.

📊 TNF Advanced Metrics Breakdown

The Los Angeles Rams enter with sharper numbers across the board, and those edges are shaping both the betting lines and the expectations.

The Rams have scored 100 points to the 49ers’ 80 and are averaging 6.5 yards per play compared to San Francisco’s 5.8. Their rushing attack is also far more productive, gaining 4.5 yards per carry while the 49ers sit at 3.3. 

On defense, San Francisco has been stingier in points allowed, but the Rams generate far more pressure with 12 sacks and a 9.6 percent sack rate that doubles the 49ers’ mark. Protecting the ball has been another separator, with Los Angeles committing just two turnovers to San Francisco’s five.

Injuries tilt things even further. Brandon Aiyuk is out, George Kittle is on injured reserve, and Brock Purdy remains questionable. On the other side of the ball, the loss of Nick Bosa robs San Francisco of its most dangerous pass rusher, leaving a defense already less efficient at creating pressure with a major hole.

Moneyline: Rams Win (-295)

Los Angeles is the more efficient team on both sides of the ball, and the injuries leave San Francisco too depleted to keep pace. The Rams are the definitive pick straight up. Consider pairing Rams ML with Under 51.5 Points to bring the odds to an even +100. 

Spread: Rams -5.5 (-130)

The Rams’ offense averages nearly a yard more per play than San Francisco, and their defense doubles the 49ers’ sack rate. With those gaps in efficiency and execution, Los Angeles should be able to clear a touchdown margin.

Total: Under 47 (-112)

Los Angeles boasts elite efficiency, but the 49ers’ defense limits yards per play and keeps explosive gains in check. San Francisco’s offense, missing key playmakers, lacks punch against a pressure-heavy Rams defense. With both units suppressing scoring opportunities, the matchup trends toward the Under 47 total.

Check out this play!

Not only did our MNF props from the last edition of The Pine Pulse cash, but we also started off the MLB Wild Card round with a winning parlay in Discord yesterday! Be sure to join the server so you don’t miss out!